Earthquake forecasting probability charts
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5459/bnzsee.12.4.324-327Abstract
Earthquake forecasts can be expressed in a useful form for practical purposes by mapping the probability that specific strengths of shaking will occur within specified timespans. The minimum requirements for a forecasting model to allow this form of presentation are discussed and an illustration based on the precursory swarm hypothesis is given.
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